Proof that Jeremy
Lin is an Excellent Defender
Is Jeremy Lin an excellent defender or just an average defender? At times, he
seemed to leave his man to help his teammates on defense and he gets burned
when his man made layup or an open 3PT.
In the 11/12/12 game
against Miami Heat, Jeremy sparked the defense in the 3rd quarter to start a
16-9 run to tie the game at 75-75 when he was substituted. He actually had a
major role in the 8-3 run before Harden played PG to close it with 8-6 run.
In the 3rd Q with
7:43 remaining, while trailing 66-59, Houston made 16-7 run to tie at 75-75
Lin played a major
role in playing team defense and orchestrating offense to make 8-3 run with
excellent ball movement (average passes per possession =3.4). The score was
67-69 with 5:10 remaining
Then Harden played a
major role to orchestrate a 8-6 run but the ball movement was poor (ave.
passes/possession = 1.2)
We will look in
detail in this 8-3 run, especially in how Lin successfully guarded Wade, Bosh,
Cole resulting in 1
block, 2 missed layups, 1 steal, 1 charge. This is not the work of an average defender.
He made 1 mistake of
leaving Chalmer for a wide-open +3 after deciding to help guard Ray Allen.
On offense, he
scored one 3PT, 1-2 FT, 1 assist. The rest of the time, Harden played PG with
mixed results and worse team defense.
For analysis
purpose, I will reward GOOD and BAD defense points to analyze Jeremy's
defensive impact on the 8-3 run.
When Lin managed to
play defense well to prevent a player to score, he is rewarded +2 or +3 (a failed 3PT). If he fails to prevent his man from
scoring, he will be penalized -2
or -3 (a made 3PT) or -1 (fouling someone to prevent from
scoring)
In this 8-3 run,
Lin's Total GOOD defense
points are +10 and Total BAD defense points are -3
7:52
Lin was left
one-on-one to guard Dwade on a fastbreak. Lin made Wade throw up bad layup and
missed
Asik could not hold
the rebound and it went out of bound.
Harden couldn't
guard DWade and had to foul him. Wade missed both FTs
(Harden BAD defense
-1 penalty since Wade did not
make any FTs)
2nd
POSSESSION
3-0 Lin made a
wide-open 3PT shot. Ball movement= 4 passes. (LIN OFF
+3PT)
Lin's Total GOOD defense points = +2 and Total BAD
defense points = -3
4-3 Lin drew foul on
Chalmers. Made 1-2 FT. Ball movement= 3 (Lin OFF
+4PT)
Delfino subbed for Asik.
4-3 Lin made Wade
change his layup and pass to Battier, (LIN's GOOD DEF defense unrecorded in boxscore +2)
got rebound off Cole's airball
4th
POSSESSION
6-3 Harden-Lin-Harden-Parsons resulted in Parsons getting fouled and made 2
FT. Ball movement = 3 passes.
6-3 Lin stole the
ball from Bosh leading to quick pass to Parsons (Lin DEF 1
STL)
Lin had a good spacing between Cole and
Bosh and decided to swipe the ball from Bosh.
Lin's Total GOOD defense points = +6 and Total BAD
defense points = -3
5th POSSESSION
Lin and Delfino challenged Wade's layup
(possibly a block) and Wade missed (LIN's GOOD
DEF with block +2)
Lin's Total GOOD defense points = +8 and Total BAD
defense points = -3
6th
POSSESSION (HOU trailing 67-69)
Norris Cole offensive Charge (Jeremy Lin
draws the foul)(LIN's GOOD
DEF good team defense unrecorded
in boxscore +2)
Lin's Total GOOD defense points = +10 and Total BAD
defense points = -3
This mini 8-3 run demonstrated that
Jeremy Lin is an excellent man-to-man and help defender in guarding 3 different
players (DWade, Cole, Bosh) preventing them to score. He produced 1 block, 2 missed layups, 1 steal, 1 charge. But he also made
one mistake against Ray Allen by leaving Chalmers for an open 3PT shot. He should stay aggressive in
defense and get better in reducing mistakes with more experience in not
overhelping with team defense against smart players like Ray Allen.
Interestingly,
Harden passed the ball back to Lin 3 out of 4 times and good things happened
when Jeremy decided to attack the basket or shoot the ball. On the offense, Jeremy should stay aggressive to
attack the basket and/or pass to any open teammates.
Harden's bad plays seem to be when he decided to play
hero ball to take it strong to the basket without any ball movement as
proven by the last few possessions in the 4Q when Houston gave up the lead in
the last 3 min.
Amazing work! Thanks for the useful analysis.
ReplyDelete+1
DeleteThanks, wilc!
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